2024 Election Forecast
Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
Election in
100
days
9
hrs
32
min
2
sec
Senate
Trump

+1%
59%
Kamala

-3%
39%
1% RFK Jr
1% Michelle
View all

Democratic Nominee

Kamala
90%
Kamala
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Democratic VP Nominee

Kamala
90%
Kamala
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Presidential forecast

Trending Markets
Chance of event
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
+5%
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
-4%
Will Trump and Kamala debate before election?
+11%
RFK Jr. endorses Trump?
+4%
Will Biden finish his term?
-2%
Swing States
Alabama
34
ELECTORAL
VOTES
45%

Republicans
55%

Democrats
Alaska
342
ELECTORAL
VOTES
46%

Republicans
54%

Democrats
Wyoming
342
ELECTORAL
VOTES
67%

Republicans
33%

Democrats
Wisconsin
92
ELECTORAL
VOTES
70%

Republicans
30%

Democrats
West Virginia
92
ELECTORAL
VOTES
70%

Republicans
30%

Democrats
Washington
92
ELECTORAL
VOTES
70%

Republicans
30%

Democrats
Balance of Power
Presidecy
59% Republican
Senate
73% Republican
House
56% Democrat

33% Rep. Sweep

