2024 Election Forecast

Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
Election in
100
days
9
hrs
32
min
2
sec
Senate

Trump

+1%
59%

Kamala

-3%
39%
1% RFK Jr
1% Michelle
View all

Democratic Nominee

Kamala
90%
Kamala
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%

Democratic VP Nominee

Kamala
90%
Kamala
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Kamala
<1%
Michelle Obama
90%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%

Presidential forecast

Trending Markets

Chance of event
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
+5%
70%
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
-4%
70%
Will Trump and Kamala debate before election?
+11%
70%
RFK Jr. endorses Trump?
+4%
84%
Will Biden finish his term?
-2%
23%

Swing States

Alabama

34

ELECTORAL

VOTES

45%
Republicans
55%
Democrats

Alaska

342

ELECTORAL

VOTES

46%
Republicans
54%
Democrats

Wyoming

342

ELECTORAL

VOTES

67%
Republicans
33%
Democrats

Wisconsin

92

ELECTORAL

VOTES

70%
Republicans
30%
Democrats

West Virginia

92

ELECTORAL

VOTES

70%
Republicans
30%
Democrats

Washington

92

ELECTORAL

VOTES

70%
Republicans
30%
Democrats

Balance of Power

Presidecy
59% Republican
Senate
73% Republican
House
56% Democrat

33% Rep. Sweep

33% Rep. Sweep